🌏 Korean Prophecy × East Asia Analysis March 2026 · Verified Balanced Assessment

What Korea's Ancient Prophecies Foretold —
And How They Map onto
East Asia's Crisis in 2026

Korea's oldest prophetic texts — Jeonggamrok, Gyeokamyurok, and the visions of Monk Tanheo — are circulating again as the Middle East burns and East Asia tensions peak.
Their core claims examined, fact-checked, and set against what the data actually shows.

📅 March 25, 2026 ✍ 22B Labs · The 4th Path 🏷 Korean Prophecy · Jeonggamrok · Tanheo · East Asia · Korean Peninsula · Geopolitics

Korea has old prophecies. Jeonggamrok (鄭鑑錄), passed through the Korean people since the mid-Joseon dynasty. Gyeokamyurok (格庵遺錄), attributed to the scholar-seer Nam Sa-go (1509–1571). And the visions of Monk Tanheo (1913–1983), one of the 20th century's most revered Korean Buddhist scholars. These texts are retrieved, re-read, and re-interpreted whenever Korea feels most vulnerable.

March 2026. The Middle East is at war. Taiwan Strait tensions are rising. North Korea's nuclear program is advancing. The Doomsday Clock stands at 85 seconds to midnight — the closest in history. Four nuclear-armed states surround the Korean peninsula simultaneously.

How much do these ancient Korean prophecies overlap with this moment? And where should the honest line be drawn? Both questions examined here.

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I. Korea's Three Major Prophetic Traditions — What They Actually Say

The Core Claims of Jeonggamrok, Gyeokamyurok, and Monk Tanheo

📜 Prophecy 1 — Jeonggamrok (鄭鑑錄) | Mid-Joseon Dynasty Onward

"Samjeol-unsu (Three-Fold Severing): The Yi dynasty will face three fateful crises. The first was the Imjin War (Japanese invasion, 1592). The second was the Byeongja War (Manchu invasion, 1636). The third is a destined national catastrophe yet to come."
"Sibimsungji (Ten Refuge Places): There are ten locations where those who retreat in time of catastrophe will survive."
"After the chaos passes, a True Person of the Jeong family will emerge and open a new era."

Historical context: Jeonggamrok was a forbidden book under the Joseon dynasty — possession alone could mean arrest. Precisely because of that suppression, it circulated widely among the people who read it as both a crisis warning and a hope text during invasions and famines. What the "third crisis" refers to remains debated. Some scholars place it as the Japanese colonial period. Others identify it as the Korean War. Still others argue it has not yet arrived.

2026 connection: The Korean peninsula currently faces three converging crisis axes simultaneously — North Korea's nuclear escalation (internal), the US–China power collision's Korean spillover (external), and the energy–economic shock (structural). Whether this constitutes Jeonggamrok's "third crisis" depends entirely on how one chooses to count. The text is structurally retrofittable to almost any crisis period.

Historical coherence rating (alignment with documented crises)

Historically coherent 55%

Ambiguous / post-hoc 45%

📚 Prophecy 2 — Gyeokamyurok (格庵遺錄) | Attributed to Nam Sa-go (1509–1571)

"In the last age, wars and calamities will erupt across the world. Disease and death will strike in waves, and much of humanity will perish."
"Those who survive will be those who found the True Person and entered the ten refuge places."
"From Korea in the East, a new civilization will open, and it will become the center of the world."

Critical authenticity issue: The version of Gyeokamyurok currently in circulation has a high probability of being a modern forgery or heavily interpolated text. Multiple academic sources — including a 2012 paper in the Korean Buddhist Studies journal by Prof. Kim Sung-chul — note that the text as it exists today was likely modified and expanded by new religious movements (particularly Daesoon Jinrihoe) to serve recruitment purposes. Its alignment with the original 16th-century manuscript has never been verified.

What merits attention: The directional claim — "a new civilization emerges from the East, from Korea" — is shared across Jeonggamrok, Gyeokamyurok, and Tanheo's visions. Whether this reflects genuine prophetic insight or a consistent expression of Korean national aspiration through centuries of hardship is the central interpretive question.

Original document authenticity rating

Possibly authentic 30%

Likely interpolated 70%

☯ Prophecy 3 — Monk Tanheo (呑虛, 1913–1983) | Korea's Greatest Buddhist Scholar

"When the Arctic ice fully collapses and the Earth's axis shifts, global earthquakes and tsunamis will kill 60 to 80 percent of humanity."
"Japan will sink beneath the sea. China will fracture and divide. But Korea, positioned at the pivot point of the axis shift at Gyeryongsan Mountain, will suffer the least damage."
"Before the great catastrophe comes, Korean unification must first occur — not peacefully, but in a dramatic and rapid way."
"After the natural disasters and wars pass, Korea will become the spiritual center of the world."

Tanheo's credibility: Monk Tanheo is said to have accurately foreseen the Korean War, the May 16 military coup (1961), the Vietnam War, the October 26 assassination of President Park Chung-hee (1979), the Hyogo earthquake in Japan, and the election of Park Geun-hye. Most remarkably, he announced the exact date of his own death six years in advance — and died on that date after completing his translation of the Tao Te Ching. This makes his claims harder to dismiss than most prophets.

Academic assessment: Prof. Kim Sung-chul (Korean Buddhist Studies, vol. 63, 2012) characterizes Tanheo's visions as "future studies filled with goodwill" rather than strict prophecy — a hopeful message directed at a people living through political darkness, grounded in his interpretation of the Jeongyeok (正易) cosmological text. Some predictions were realized. Many were not.

Prediction accuracy rate (academic estimate)

Realized ~50%

Unrealized / pending 50%

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II. East Asia in March 2026 — The Data

The Geopolitical Reality Against Which These Prophecies Are Being Read

4

Nuclear-armed states
surrounding the
Korean peninsula

85 sec

Doomsday Clock
to midnight
(historic record)

9 days

South Korea's
operational LNG
buffer inventory

🇰🇵 North Korea — Nuclear Escalation

ICBM diversification. Tactical nuclear deployment. North Korea–China–Russia triangular alignment tightening. US–North Korea diplomacy frozen under Trump's second term. The Korean War ended in an armistice — not a peace treaty. Seventy-three years on, the peninsula is technically still at war.

🇨🇳 China — Taiwan Pressure Window

Iran war has diverted US strategic assets to the Middle East. Taiwan parliament approved a $9 billion US arms package. China's 2026 Two Sessions: defense budget increased, Taiwan rhetoric intensified. PLA helicopter dangerous approach to Australian aircraft over Yellow Sea (March 4).

🇯🇵 Japan — Energy Crisis & Rearmament

90% of crude oil transits Hormuz. Strategic reserves released (45 days' worth). Tanheo's "Japan sinking" remains unfulfilled — but Japan's seismic vulnerability (Nankai Trough: 70–80% probability of major quake within 30 years) and energy fragility are live realities, not distant scenarios.

🇰🇷 South Korea — Energy & Political Pressure

9-day operational LNG buffer. ₩100 trillion emergency stabilization package. Early presidential election (2025) following impeachment. USFK reduction discussions ongoing. US Interior Secretary Burgum publicly stated: "They want to buy more energy from the US" — Korean energy sovereignty under structural pressure.

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III. Prophecy vs 2026 Reality — The Point-by-Point Comparison

🔄 Comparison 1 — "The Third Destined National Crisis"

Jeonggamrok: "Three fateful severings — the third is a destined national catastrophe"

Current situation: The Korean peninsula faces three simultaneous crisis dimensions: North Korea's nuclear capability (internal), the US–China power collision spilling into the peninsula (external), and the energy-economic shock triggered by the Iran war (structural). Whether this constitutes the "third crisis" of Jeonggamrok depends entirely on how the first two are counted. Scholars who identify the Korean War as the third crisis argue the prophecy has already been fulfilled. The text's structural ambiguity makes definitive interpretation impossible from the outside.

🔄 Comparison 2 — "China Will Fracture, Japan Will Sink"

Monk Tanheo: "Japan sinks. China divides. Korea suffers least."

Current situation: Bruegel's March 2026 analysis explicitly states that a protracted Iran war "would divert US military resources away from the Indo-Pacific, with potentially major consequences for the future of Taiwan and/or the South China Sea." Taiwan's parliament approved a $9 billion arms deal with the US the same week. These developments create surface alignment with Tanheo's "China fracturing" direction — though China's internal political consolidation under Xi Jinping runs in the opposite direction from imminent division.

On "Japan sinking" — the Japan Meteorological Agency's Nankai Trough forecast assigns a 70–80% probability to a magnitude 8–9 earthquake within the next 30 years. Japan is also in acute energy stress from the Iran war. These are real risks that align loosely with Tanheo's framing. Physical submersion of the Japanese archipelago, however, has no geological basis.

🔄 Comparison 3 — "Unification Must Come Before the Great Catastrophe"

Monk Tanheo: "Before the great upheaval, Korean unification will first occur — dramatically, in a short span of time"

Current situation: Unification has not occurred. But paradoxically, the North Korea–China–Russia triangular alignment and the US energy system realignment are creating structural pressures that make Korean peninsula status quo change more plausible than at any point since the Cold War's end. Tanheo's description of unification coming "after totalitarian darkness passes" has been read as foreshadowing a North Korean regime collapse scenario. No concrete signs of that exist today — but the structural conditions for Korean peninsula transformation are, objectively, more unstable than they have been in decades.

🔄 Comparison 4 — "60 to 80 Percent of Humanity Will Perish"

Monk Tanheo: "Global earthquakes, tsunamis, and war will eliminate 60 to 80 percent of the world's current population"

Honest assessment: This specific prediction is not currently being realized. The Doomsday Clock stands at 85 seconds to midnight — its closest point in history — and the Iran war has created the largest energy supply disruption ever recorded. But an event that eliminates the majority of humanity is not in progress.

What is notable: Tanheo grounded this prediction in "the collapse of Arctic ice and the Earth's axial correction." The accelerating loss of Arctic sea ice is a documented, measured scientific phenomenon. That it could trigger the civilizational disruption Tanheo described is a separate — and much larger — claim for which current science provides no direct support on the scale he envisioned.

Short-term realization probability

Active signals 10%

Unrealized / long-term horizon 90%

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IV. The Honest Limits — What Must Be Read Alongside This

⚖ Structural Limits of Korean Prophetic Traditions

① Nationalist bias as a structural feature: Korea's major prophetic traditions share a common conclusion — Korea survives the global catastrophe and becomes the world's spiritual or civilizational center. This consistency reflects centuries of accumulated trauma under repeated invasion and occupation. Populations living through political darkness consistently seek prophetic validation for a better future. Academic scholarship identifies this as the engine behind these texts' enduring appeal, not their predictive accuracy.

② Gyeokamyurok's authenticity problem: The version currently in circulation was almost certainly modified by new religious movements — particularly Daesoon Jinrihoe — in ways that served recruitment rather than historical preservation. Using it as a prophetic source requires acknowledging this interpolation problem explicitly.

③ Tanheo: what he got right and what he didn't: Tanheo himself said: "I am not a Nostradamus-type prophet." His academic interlocutors describe his vision as "future studies filled with moral aspiration" — closer to ethical cosmology than prediction. Some of his foresights were realized with remarkable precision. Many were not. Treating him selectively — citing what fits and ignoring what doesn't — is the same retrofitting error that afflicts all prophetic interpretation.

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V. Beyond Prophecy — Korea's Actual Strategic Position in 2026

Regardless of what the prophecies say or don't say,
the Korean peninsula's strategic position in March 2026
is objectively more complex and more dangerous
than at any point since the Cold War ended.

The nuclear encirclement: Four nuclear-armed states simultaneously surrounding one peninsula — the United States, China, Russia, and North Korea — is without historical precedent. Even during the Cold War's most dangerous moments, this particular configuration did not exist. North Korea is deploying tactical nuclear weapons. China is expanding its warhead count at the fastest rate in its history. The United States is exhausting precision munitions in Iran. Russia is deepening ties with Pyongyang.

The energy vulnerability paradox: Tanheo predicted Korea would suffer least from the global catastrophe. But the Iran war has revealed South Korea as one of East Asia's most energy-vulnerable economies — 9-day LNG operational buffer, 70% Middle East crude dependence, and growing pressure to anchor its energy security to the US supply system rather than developing independent alternatives. The prophecy of Korean resilience collides with the data of Korean exposure.

The alliance-autonomy dilemma: US Interior Secretary Burgum's March 23 statement — "They want to buy more energy from the US" — was not just an energy trade comment. It was a geopolitical signal: Korea's path toward US energy dependency is being actively managed from Washington. How Korea navigates the tension between alliance deepening and strategic autonomy in the next decade will determine its position in the realignment these prophecies gesturally anticipated.

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Whether Jeonggamrok's "third crisis" is now — unknowable.
Whether Gyeokamyurok is authentic — unverified.
Whether Tanheo's "unification before catastrophe" is imminent — no concrete signs.

But one thing is verifiable:
Four nuclear-armed states simultaneously surrounding one peninsula.
Nine days of operational LNG reserves.
An armistice — not a peace treaty — holding for 73 years.

The ancient texts reach for language to describe what they sensed.
The data describes what is measurable.
In 2026, both are pointing toward the same place.
Whether that is prophecy or probability is the question each person must answer for themselves.

⚡ Historical-Geopolitical Analysis Series Part 2 Verified & Balanced

The 1941 Japan Oil Embargo
and 2026 China Energy Pressure —
Does History Repeat, or Just Rhyme?

America cut off Japan's oil. Japan swept into Southeast Asia and bombed Pearl Harbor.
Now America is squeezing China's energy supply lines. Will China follow the same path?
Historical sources, current journals, and the counterarguments — all examined.

📅 March 25, 2026 ✍ 22B Labs · The 4th Path 🏷 Historical Parallel · Thucydides Trap · China Energy · Pearl Harbor Paradox · Taiwan Strait

The previous piece established that the US–Iran war's structural objectives extend well beyond nuclear containment into energy dominance. Looking at that architecture, an old historical pattern begins to overlay the present. In 1941, the United States cut off Japan's oil. Japan swept into Southeast Asia. Japan bombed Pearl Harbor. Today, the United States is tightening China's energy supply lines. Will China follow the same sequence? And could Washington actually be waiting for that to happen?

This question has moved from historical curiosity to live strategic judgment. The sources were examined. Here is what they show.

Thesis Under Examination:

① The structural parallel between the 1941 US–Japan oil embargo and the 2026 US–China energy squeeze is real and documented.
② But China's energy resilience is fundamentally different from Japan's in 1941.
③ A Chinese "desperate move" scenario exists — but not in Pearl Harbor form.
④ The "trap thesis" — that the US is engineering Chinese overreach — has partial evidence but is overstated.

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I. The Historical Parallel — What Is Actually the Same

The Structural Echo Between 1941 and 2026

On August 1, 1941, President Roosevelt imposed a full oil embargo on Japan. Britain and the Dutch East Indies followed immediately. The result was staggering. Japan lost 75% of its overseas trade and 88–90% of its imported oil in a single blow. Japan's Naval General Staff reported to Emperor Hirohito: "Our oil stockpiles will be exhausted within two years. If we go to war, within eighteen months." The clock and the fuel gauge now stood side by side. CIMSEC / Wikipedia

🗓 Japan — 1941

• 80%+ of oil imported from the United States
• Lost 88% of imported oil in a single embargo
• Strategic reserves: ~18 months at wartime consumption
• No alternative suppliers (Dutch East Indies was the only option)
• Mired in a long war of attrition in China — accelerating resource drain
• US demand: withdraw from China = strategic suicide
• Options: capitulate OR fight

🗓 China — 2026

• Iranian crude cut off: 1.38 million bpd
• Venezuelan supply cut off: ~600,000 bpd
• Hormuz flow: 5.35 million bpd → 1.22 million bpd
• Strategic reserves: ~1.2 billion barrels (108–130 days)
• Russia pipeline supply increasing (2.1 million bpd and rising)
• Renewables cover 80% of new electricity demand
• Hormuz = only 6.6% of China's total energy consumption

The Columbia University Journal of International Affairs (JIA) identified this pattern directly in a 2022 analysis of Russian sanctions: "The 1941 Japan embargo is the archetype of how economic pressure triggers military action from a cornered major power." It noted that "when a great power's critical resource access is severed with no negotiated exit available, military acquisition of alternatives becomes a live option." Columbia JIA, 2022

CIMSEC's finding from its study of 1941 as "The First Energy War":
"US Ambassador Grew warned Roosevelt in 1939:
'If we cut off Japan's oil, Japan will probably send its fleet south
to seize the Dutch East Indies.'
That warning was accurate. Washington knew it. And proceeded anyway."

— CIMSEC, "Pearl Harbor 1941: The First Energy War"

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II. The Critical Differences — What Is Not the Same

Why the Historical Analogy Can Mislead

Accepting the parallel uncritically means missing something important. China in 2026 is not Japan in 1941. The data makes the distinction clear.

Comparison Point	Japan 1941	China 2026	Verdict
Energy Reserves	18 months wartime. No way to replenish.	1.2 billion barrels (108–130 days). Still growing — adding ~1M bpd/day to storage in 2026.	Structurally Different
Supply Diversification	80%+ from the US. No alternatives.	Russia 17.4%, Saudi Arabia 14.9%, Iraq, UAE, others. Explicit policy: no single supplier above 15%.	Structurally Different
Energy Transition	Zero renewables. 100% fossil fuel dependency.	80% of new power demand from renewables. World's largest EV market. Hormuz = 6.6% of total energy consumption. (Nomura)	Structurally Different
Economic & Nuclear Weight	1/10th of US GDP. No nuclear weapons.	~80% of US GDP. Nuclear-armed. Cost of US military action against China is prohibitive.	Structurally Different
Degree of Critical Dependency	Without US oil, all military operations fail within 18 months.	Iranian crude = roughly 2–3% of China's total energy consumption.	Structurally Different
Negotiating Leverage	US demand (withdraw from China) = strategic self-destruction.	US–China tariff truce valid through November 2026. US also has significant trade exposure to China.	Partially Similar
Risk of Unilateral Military Action	Military effectively controlled the cabinet. Civilian oversight had collapsed.	Xi Jinping exercises strong control over the PLA. Independent escalation is unlikely.	Structurally Different

Sources: Atlantic Council, Bruegel, War on the Rocks, CNBC (Nomura analysis), Columbia CGEP (March 2026)

Bruegel's Alicia García-Herrero puts it plainly: "Iran was a useful but never a vital partner for China." University of Pennsylvania analyst Aaron Glasserman draws the same conclusion: "Iran needs China, but China does not need Iran." Asia Times / Bruegel

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III. So What Does China's "Desperate Move" Actually Look Like?

Not Pearl Harbor — Three Different Pathways

Establishing that China is structurally different from 1941 Japan does not mean China does nothing. Energy pressure generates responses. The question is what form those responses take. Three scenarios currently assessed as most credible by analysts.

Scenario A — High Probability

🛢 Accelerated Supply Diversification — Africa, Central Asia, Russia Deepening

China already moved in advance. When US military buildup signals intensified in early 2026, China's oil imports surged 16% year-on-year in January–February — deliberate stockpiling. Bruegel Russian crude exports to China rose by 300,000 bpd in those two months, reaching 2.1 million bpd. Power of Siberia 2 negotiations are accelerating. BRI energy investment is concentrating in Africa (Angola, Nigeria, Congo) and Central Asia (Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan).

This is not desperate improvisation. It is planned diversification. The United States has limited tools to block it.

Scenario B — Medium Probability, Requires Attention

🪖 US Military Resources Diverted — Taiwan and South China Sea Pressure Window

This is the most tension-generating scenario. Bruegel's analysis is explicit: "A protracted conflict in Iran would divert US military resources away from the Indo-Pacific, with potentially major consequences for the future of Taiwan and/or the South China Sea." Bruegel

AEI's data reinforces it. The Iran war has consumed large volumes of precision-guided munitions, Tomahawk cruise missiles, JASSM, and LRASM stockpiles — weapons that would be needed in any Taiwan contingency. Replenishment will take two years or more. Simultaneously, China is observing US naval operations, AI strike patterns, and B-2 bomber deployment in real time, absorbing operational lessons it will use elsewhere. AEI, March 2026

But Asia Times' assessment is cold water: "This scenario only activates if Xi Jinping has already decided to resolve the dispute by military force and judges that his probability of success is sufficiently high." Current evidence suggests Beijing has not reached that threshold. Asia Times

Scenario C — Long-Term, Structural

🌿 Energy Transition on Extreme Overdrive — US Strategy Backfires

The paradox scenario identified by Foreign Policy and SCMP analysts. Energy pressure may actually drive China away from fossil fuel dependency — radically accelerating its renewables, EV, and nuclear transition rather than driving military expansion. China already covers 80% of new electricity demand with renewables. It leads the world in solar panels, batteries, and electric vehicles. Foreign Policy / SCMP

If the Iran crisis deepens the Chinese consensus that "fossil fuel dependency is a strategic vulnerability," the US energy dominance strategy could paradoxically accelerate the long-term decline of oil demand — the opposite of what an energy dominance strategy intends. The weapon undermines itself.

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IV. Is the US Actually Setting a Trap?

The Trap Thesis — Evidence and Limits

The most contested element of this analysis is the "trap thesis" — that Washington is deliberately engineering energy pressure to provoke Chinese overreach, creating a pretext for confrontation. This deserves careful examination because it is both partially supported and significantly overstated.

What supports it: A US security analysis document circulated in March 2026 (Data Republican) explicitly listed among the secondary strategic objectives of Operation Epic Fury: "Send deterrence signals to China (Taiwan) and Russia (Ukraine) — demonstrate US willingness to use military force." The New York Times reported on March 7 that Xi Jinping interpreted Trump's embrace of war as confirmation that China needs more military power. AEI documents that the PLA is actively extracting military lessons from the Iran conflict for future application. Data Republican / NYT / AEI

The counter-paradox (Bruegel, García-Herrero):
"The longer the Iran war runs,
the more US military assets are tied down in the Middle East
and the wider China's Indo-Pacific operational window becomes.
Who is walking into whose trap?"

— Bruegel, "What the war in Iran means for China," March 2026

But the trap thesis has important limits.

⚖ Balanced Counterargument — Where the Trap Thesis Overstretches

First: China is already responding differently than Japan did. Japan resorted to military action because its economic options were exhausted. China currently holds 1.2 billion barrels of crude reserves, Russia pipeline alternatives, renewable energy substitutes, and significant trade leverage over the United States. It has far less reason to act desperately than Japan had in 1941.

Second: China has already read the US munitions situation. Asia Times reports that China interprets the Iran war as demonstrating that "the US is still formidable but vulnerable in short, intense conflicts." This is not a signal to launch a reckless Pearl Harbor-style strike. It is a signal to wait, watch, and plan on a longer horizon.

Third: The Thucydides Trap does not require military collision. The rising power (China) challenging the established hegemon (US) is the classic structure. But that collision does not have to be military. The more probable battlefield is economic, technological, and energy transition — non-kinetic competition where China has significant structural advantages.

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V. What to Actually Watch For

No Pearl Harbor — But Different Warning Signs Are Already Present

On March 4, 2026, a Chinese Navy helicopter approached an Australian helicopter over the Yellow Sea "in an unsafe and unprofessional manner," forcing evasive action. AEI assessed this as China "enforcing territorial claims and demonstrating displeasure over Western military operations in the region." China's 2026 Two Sessions legislative meetings increased the defense budget and escalated rhetorical pressure on Taiwan. Taiwan's parliament approved a $9 billion US arms package. AEI / Foreign Policy

War on the Rocks' analyst articulates the connection directly: "China does not think about Taiwan and the South China Sea separately from energy security. Taiwan is both a strategic objective in its own right and critical for controlling maritime routes that determine energy self-sufficiency." War on the Rocks

The Atlantic Council issues a direct warning: "From the present crisis, Indo-Pacific capitals should draw important lessons — not the least of which is the importance of strengthening energy security ahead of a potential Taiwan crisis." Atlantic Council

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The structural parallel between 1941 Japan and 2026 China is real.
When a powerful nation's energy is squeezed, it finds a way out.

But China is not the Japan that held 18 months of wartime oil reserves.
Not the Japan with zero renewables and no alternative suppliers.
Not the Japan facing a power that could act without nuclear consequences.

There will be no Pearl Harbor-style surprise attack.
Instead: a slower, quieter, more structural collision
in the domains of energy, military positioning, and technology —
already in progress.
And that clock is already ticking.

📚 Primary Sources

• CIMSEC — "Pearl Harbor 1941: The First Energy War"
• Columbia JIA — "Agreements, Aggression, and Embargoes: Parallels from the Past" (2022)
• US State Dept. (history.state.gov) — "Japan, China, the United States and the Road to Pearl Harbor, 1937–41"
• Wikipedia — "Prelude to the Attack on Pearl Harbor" (sourced from EBSCO Research Starters)
• Bruegel — "What the war in Iran means for China" (García-Herrero, Mar 2026)
• Atlantic Council — "What a Middle East oil and LNG crisis means for China and East Asia" (Mar 2026)
• War on the Rocks — "How Does the Iran War Affect China's Energy Security?" (Mar 2026)
• Foreign Policy — "Iran War: Strait of Hormuz Closure Is Squeezing China's Oil Supply" (Mar 2026)
• AEI — "China & Taiwan Update, March 6 and March 13, 2026"
• Asia Times — "China weathering Iran war with minimal damage" (Mar 2026)
• Asia Times — "How China's analysts view the US-Iran war" (Mar 2026)
• CNBC / Nomura — "Why China can withstand oil's surge past $100" (Mar 2026)
• SCMP — "Iran conflict will accelerate China's push to become an energy powerhouse" (Mar 2026)
• Data Republican — "Data Analysis of the State of the Iranian Conflict" (Mar 2026)
• CFR — "Conflicts to Watch in 2026" (Dec 2025)